Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 104025.312876 109575.755532 115118.123144 121064.074676 127258.666263 133518.377167 140318.252831
2025-08-24 95671.392573 104231.481749 113009.815747 122673.813471 133002.853829 143700.613387 155606.459038
2025-08-31 88606.790778 99168.269025 110230.435782 122658.393061 136208.541219 150510.909015 166725.237371
2025-09-07 84247.357712 96422.121542 109399.044810 124222.978416 140649.260002 158254.749097 178511.457848
2025-09-14 80388.418360 93834.944808 108388.881643 125257.071767 144212.066981 164796.544823 188782.085466
2025-09-21 76547.048188 90974.076355 106808.935178 125404.223644 146564.869591 169816.393014 197216.090953
2025-09-28 73207.077232 88462.311999 105422.769229 125580.471536 148783.452987 174551.840792 205226.582191
2025-10-05 71289.747812 87447.289998 105619.896304 127451.713280 152839.597114 181301.735949 215487.520229
2025-10-12 69393.595451 86337.714581 105604.061083 128984.663778 156434.265815 187479.162411 225077.527666
2025-10-19 67273.103942 84853.028846 105053.274723 129805.370796 159130.798723 192574.986487 233398.215134
2025-10-26 64975.702776 83053.811484 104039.158501 129994.565491 161016.022276 196678.352386 240536.582550
2025-11-02 63048.559476 81617.907402 103382.867544 130541.209087 163268.996717 201176.045871 248122.638564
2025-11-09 60988.085383 79966.294615 102427.976039 130704.829738 165062.119695 205154.546607 255153.964413
2025-11-16 59726.836546 79251.227056 102569.363387 132166.010651 168401.053324 210975.800141 264410.373222
2025-11-23 57770.371777 77598.693881 101500.306004 132092.348463 169836.401047 214493.631345 270903.986005
2025-11-30 56785.650092 77127.079277 101853.728315 133741.348013 173357.832379 220523.339013 280445.850101
2025-12-07 55596.656946 76349.507794 101786.974905 134836.699371 176178.604085 225700.378868 288972.052388
2025-12-14 54031.957048 75037.182693 101002.125412 134992.301964 177804.471048 229403.594275 295702.752055
2025-12-21 52564.417429 73802.982411 100273.172222 135179.330687 179439.456554 233101.281925 302426.860112
2025-12-28 51986.118582 73705.823552 100974.108174 137166.468306 183328.425060 239589.246223 312620.505294
2026-01-04 51281.461494 73414.931685 101404.896760 138794.146014 186760.602178 245522.201990 322158.520555
2026-01-11 50284.444690 72703.245252 101264.200689 139665.483650 189221.041536 250245.700618 330210.921191
2026-01-18 49048.404881 71635.114601 100627.085037 139866.341541 190805.682120 253864.274332 336889.366944